Hot Skate Soup

2009 Skate America – preview

November 12, 2009 · Leave a Comment

Where does the time go?  Skate America starts tomorrow in Lake Placid, so I’d better get this thing written.  (I’m already behind in my blogging goals, but why add another log to that fire?)

MEN

This is one of the weakest fields so far in the Grand Prix.  Evan Lysacek shouldn’t have much trouble winning it; early practice reports sound good.  Tomas Verner is the only skater who has a reasonable chance of defeating him, but if I ever see Verner skate two clean programs back to back or skate a long program where he doesn’t run out of steam after two and a half minutes, I will be SHOCKED.  Bronze is a more interesting question, with several skaters in the mix.  Ryan Bradley and Brandon Mroz seem like the most likely candidates, especially with a hometown boost.

LADIES

The question isn’t whether Yu-Na Kim will win, but by how much.  Of course, in this weak field, she could probably fall three times and still win.  The other medals will be some combination of Rachael Flatt, Fumie Suguri, Julia Sebestyen, and Susanna Poykio.  After Kim, perhaps the skater of greatest interest is Sasha Cohen’s replacement, Emily Hughes.  Emily is getting a bye to Nationals because of this event, so hopefully she can land some jumps or at least not show total rust.  I’ve never been a fan of her skating, which, much like her sister’s, I find clunky and awkward, but she does have pretty good competitive nerves.

PAIRS

Should be a cakewalk for Shen & Zhao.  Silver will most likely go to the Zhangs, and bronze to Volosozhar & Morozov.  McLaughlin & Brubaker have a chance to sneak in for a medal if they skate well and others falter; ditto Duhamel & Buntin.  Both of these teams are looking to improve on their earlier shaky performances.  For American skatefans, the season debut of Castile & Okolski will be of interest.  How they look here will be a strong predictor of their chances of making the Olympic team.

DANCE

Should be a cakewalk for Belbin & Agosto.  Early practice reports cite them as being head and shoulders better than any other teams there.  Silver will likely go to Khokhlova & Novitski; bronze to Cappellini & Lanotte.  I’m curious to see how Navarro & Bommentre fare here (and how much their Mary J. Blige FD has improved).  I’m also interested in seeing if Chock & Zuerlein gain any traction, or if the judges reiterate their RETIRE GREG NOW message.

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Alexei Yagudin – 2002 Skate America SP

November 10, 2009 · Leave a Comment

This is one of my favorite men’s SPs of all time.  It is also the last time Alexei Yagudin ever competed in an ISU competition; he withdrew before the long program due to the hip problem that would eventually force his retirement.

This “Racing” program to Safri Duo’s “Crazy Benny” isn’t as well-known as his terrific “Winter” SP from the Olympic season, but it is just as good and immensely entertaining.  Yagudin is so exuberant and brimming with the confidence of an Olympic champion that the doubled lutz barely registers.

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Sasha Cohen withdraws from Skate America

November 9, 2009 · Leave a Comment

She will be replaced by Emily Hughes.

I don’t think anyone is surprised about this withdrawal.  Ever since Sasha announced her intention to come back for another Olympic bid, most skatefans, very much including myself, have remained openly skeptical.  Withdrawing from Bompard didn’t help her cause, and now it is looking like Nationals is iffy, too.  Ten bucks says she attends one practice at Nationals, then withdraws.

Sasha’s withdrawal is very good for Emily Hughes, though, since it gives her an automatic bye to Nationals.  I think she would have made it through Sectionals, but now the pressure to skate well is off, and she can just concentrate on doing her thing.

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2009 NHK Trophy wrap-up

November 9, 2009 · Leave a Comment

Ugh, I tried to post this last night, but WordPress was acting up.  It appears it didn’t post at all.  Trying again….

Not a great competition.

The men were as bad in the long as they were good in the short.  Of the top men, I think only Michal Brezina had a clean program.  And while Brian Joubert, bless his heart, finally got his quad-triple, he attempted only one triple axel, and that wasn’t even clean.  He really needs to pick a program layout and stick with it, going for the jumps no matter what his competition does.  What does he think is going to happen when he finally goes up against Plushenko and will need everything he’s got in his arsenal?  That sheer willpower is going to make the quads and triple axels happen?  Of course, that strategy worked so well for Todd Eldredge that it only makes sense that Joubert would embrace it now.

If Daisuke Takahashi could land his jumps, I think he’d be the obvious number one Japanese man.  The rust was showing; now, if he can only shake it off by the Olympics.  It’s definitely going to be a battle at Japanese Nationals between him and Oda.  Takahiko Kozuka wasn’t as lucky; he’s a great skater, so I’m going to believe that it was the nerves of skating under the scrutiny of the Japanese media that did in his triple axel (he landed zero clean ones all competition), not that he somehow lost the jump.

Jeremy Abbott’s short program to “A Day in the Life” is quite possibly the best men’s short of the season.  (I say quite possibly because we haven’t seen Patrick Chan yet.)  Kudos to choreographer Shae-Lynn Bourne.  I don’t see why this couldn’t easily be Top 3 at Olympics.  It has seamless transitions, and his jumps are beauts when they’re on.  Unfortunately, Jeremy is not always on, as he proved when he went out and crashed three times in his long.  I think it would be wise for him to ditch the quad.  He doesn’t really “have” the jump yet, and as Patrick Chan (and actually Jeremy himself) repeatedly demonstrated last season, the judges are more than willing to let the other stuff make up lost jumping ground.  Jeremy’s components are strong, so I think it would be better to focus on turning in clean performances than to go for tech value that’s really iffy.  Of course, at this point, Jeremy’s number one job is just to medal at U.S. Nationals and make the Olympic team in the first place.  I think the judges will be willing to overlook one fall and a stumble; they will not be willing to overlook three falls.

Johnny Weir fought through the entire competition (I guess his post-Russia anger actually worked!), but comparing his programs to Abbott’s, I thought it was pretty obvious that Abbott has the superior programs.  This puts Johnny at an automatic disadvantage in fighting for his spot on the Olympic team, because both Abbott and Lysacek have better programs.  Plus, Johnny once again did not max out his combinations, giving up valuable points that way.  If he’s not going to compete “smart,” then he really has no one to blame if he gets bumped from the team.

Adam Rippon came back from a bad short, but I don’t get all the hype about this kid.  Maybe he’s more impressive in person, but there’s nothing about his skating that stands out to me.

The ladies were dismal.  Miki Ando squeaked out a win while placing second in both short and long.  Her Cleopatra program is starting to show some potential, and I think that if she makes the Japanese Olympic team, she has the athleticism and the programs to make it to the podium.  Ashley Wagner blew a huge chance to win, but I’m not surprised.  She’s never been very consistent, and she doesn’t have any outstanding qualities to help her in the absence of jumps.  I will allow that she’s improved since last season, but without charisma or any idea of what to do with her arms, it’s always going to be an uphill slog against skaters like Czisny and Nagasu (if they don’t do themselves in by falling or racking up downgrades).  Alena Leonova really IS a combination of Dorothy Hamill and Irina Slutskaya.  She’s athletic and joyous…and really needs someone who can refine her skating in every aspect.  But good for Russia that they finally have someone who could be a contender for Sochi.

Universal Sports did not air the pairs long or anything of dance, so just quick comments based on what’s on YouTube:

Pang & Tong’s Man of la Mancha program is well-choreographed, and they skated it very well here.  One thing I noticed, thanks to the good Japanese camera work, was how much speed they had going into and out of their elements, especially their jumps.  They’re looking really good for a Top 5 finish at Olympics, possibly sneaking onto the podium if others falter.  Kavaguti & Smirnov had a terrific short, but I’m thinking they might be a short program team.  Inoue & Baldwin somehow keep holding on!  You can just never quite count them out.  Denney & Barrett are possibly the best-matched American couple, but they also have the simplest programs and the worst posture and style of all of the top American teams.  The elements just weren’t with them in the long, and I think Sheherezade is way too big for them to skate to at this point in their careers.

Davis & White blew away the competition, and their Indian OD is a standout not only because they skate it well, but because it’s so different from what anyone else is doing.  I think it was a smart choice for them, because the body positions mask their problem areas.  The Kerrs‘ country-western OD is a crowd-pleaser, but their skating is not close to the level of D/W’s, nor does the program have the same level of technical content.  I hope Sinead goes for a denim skirt later in the season; I’m not a fan of the Daisy Dukes.  Crone & Poirier took advantage of the weak field and won their first Grand Prix medal.  I like this team and the way they go all in every time they compete, but man, are they ever scruffy in their presentation.  They’re not good enough yet that their posture and presentation really bother me, but it’s definitely something that needs to be addressed.

Okay, that was Japan…on to Lake Placid!

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2009 NHK Trophy preview

November 5, 2009 · Leave a Comment

Yikes!  I’m almost out of time to get this posted.  Quick thoughts:

MEN

A pretty deep field featuring Joubert, Takahashi, Kozuka, Weir, Abbott, and Rippon.  Joubert and Weir need to prove they’re not on (possibly irreversible) downhill slides, and shore up their standings in the judges’ eyes.  Takahashi and Abbott are both making their season debuts.  Takahashi needs to prove that a year away from competition due to injury hasn’t hurt him, and Abbott needs to show that he has learned how to pace a season and that last year’s early success wasn’t a Czisny-like fluke.  Rippon’s goal should be to demonstrate consistency and establish himself as a legitimate up-and-comer.  Podium will probably be some combination of Joubert, Takahashi, Kozuka, and Weir, with Weir having the most likelihood of being the odd man out.

LADIES

It’s Ando’s to win or lose.  Other skaters with a shot at the podium are Lepistö, Nakano, Leonova, and Wagner.  It would be good for Nakano’s Olympic prospects if she were able to medal here.  Lepistö is the strongest of the Finnish ladies, but she’s never been too great in the long.  A good short could keep her on the podium, though.  A medal for Wagner is possible if she can hold it together…but that’s if she can hold it together.  Consistency has not been her strong suit.  Podium picks:  Ando, Lepistö, and Nakano.

PAIRS

Gold will be a fight between Kavaguti & Smirnov and Pang & Tong.  Bronze could go to Brodeur & Mattatall, Denney & Barrett, or Inoue & Baldwin.  These latter three teams present an interesting scenario, given how close Brodeur & Mattatall were with Denney & Barrett at Worlds, and the fact that D/B will be battling it out with I/B at Nationals for the Olympic team.  D/B really impressed me last year with their consistency and unison; we’ll see if they’ve been able to noticeably improve any of their presentation weaknesses.

DANCE

Davis & White have no competition in this lineup and won’t have any real competition until the GPF.  Kerrs are likely to end up second, with Crone & Poirier with an excellent chance to win bronze as their first GP medal.

→ Leave a CommentCategories: Grand Prix Japan · Grand Prix Series

News

November 4, 2009 · Leave a Comment

San Jose will host Nationals in 2012. Dates are January 22-29.  The last time San Jose hosted Nationals, Rudy Galindo won his U.S. title in sublime fashion, upsetting Todd Eldredge in one of the most memorable skates of the past 15 years.

Madison and Keiffer Hubbell have left Yuri Chesnichenko and Yaroslava Nechaeva in Ann Arbor for Anjelika Krylova and Pasquale Camerlengo in Detroit. I think this is a good move.  The Hubbells have gone about as far as they can with Chesnichenko and Nechaeva, and a new look would help make them fresh again.  Plus, it would get them out of the boring shadow of Samuelson & Bates.  Krylova and Camerlengo have helped Italians Federica Faiella & Massimo Scali improve quite a bit in the past few seasons, so it’ll be interesting (and, I hope, exciting!) to see what they can do with a physically striking team like the Hubbells and their inappropriately sexy sibling chemistry.

Morgan Matthews’ skating career ends due to a hip injury that requires replacement surgery. This hasn’t been officially confirmed, but no one has come out and refuted this latest rumor/news, either.  A really disappointing end to what started out as a promising career. :(

Some videos of the above skaters:

Keep reading →

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Domnina & Shabalin – 2007 Worlds OD

November 3, 2009 · Leave a Comment

I’ve been pulling out some of my old skating tapes and taking a look at some old competitions.  It’s amazing to see how much some of these athletes have grown during this cycle.  Some of these skaters were little cubs three or four years ago, and now they are grown men and women.

Anyhow, during 2007, I didn’t pay all that much attention to the ice dancing.  I had gotten busy and never made the time to review my tapes.  I knew the results and left it at that.

I should have gone back and reviewed the tapes, because I was entranced by Domnina & Shabalin’s tango OD.  They had such amazing unison and finish and power and, well, Domnina’s legs.  No team has leg line like these two.  If I were a judge, I’d want to give them the gold medal just because of that.  (This is why it’s probably good I’m not a judge.  I can be easily swayed by things like this.)  Seeing how good they were in 2007 just makes me sad that Maxim’s knee problems are so serious.  They are just a stunning team, and if Belbin & Agosto could absorb even a fraction of that stunning-ness for themselves, I would probably cry rivers of happiness and put a new lake on the map.

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2009 Cup of China

November 2, 2009 · Leave a Comment

Holla if you’re enjoying the skating coverage on Universal Sports.  It’s the main reason I’ve been holding out on springing for IceNetwork, which I subscribed to last year but found myself burning out on.  See, in theory it’s great to have every performance available to you, but in practice, you’re probably not going to watch every single skater, nor will you have or make the time to do so once the competition is over.  Plus, I had constant buffering problems during live coverage last season.  If they can enhance the stream quality for live competitions, I would consider giving them my money again.  But for now, the Universal Sports broadcasts that I’m getting for free are doing a fine job.  They do same-day airings, which, aside from live coverage of, like, Nationals or something, is far more timely than skatefans are used to.  (Remember when Lifetime would show pairs and dance about two weeks after the actual competition?  We were so patient and grateful back then.)  They also do same-day encores and usually another encore the next day.  Pretty sweet.  The only downside is that you’re subjected to endless repeats of commercials for hair plugs and Bowflex.

So, Cup of China.  I guess I’ll sum up by discipline.

Keep reading →

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Hot Skate Soup is open for bizznass.

November 2, 2009 · Leave a Comment

My goal is to blog about figure skating every day for the month of November, or to write thirty posts by the end of November.  Exercise in discipline.  Watch me go.  Fortunately, I am really into this skating season after a couple seasons of relative apathy.  Is it the Olympics?  I don’t know.  But a blog seemed like a better idea than trying and failing at NaNo.

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